A painting of me

Inside Team Trump’s Historic Collapse in the 2026 Midterm Elections. ⇒

   5 November 2026, mid-morning

No candidate proved more costly to the party than Ken Paxton, the scandal-ridden Texas attorney general. Mr. Trump endorsed him over Senator John Cornyn, the Republican incumbent, ignoring a year of warnings that Mr. Paxton would put the seat in jeopardy. Republicans were ultimately forced to spend close to $300 million in Texas — money that could have gone to shore up candidates in other states. Mr. Paxton lost by 12 points.

On another recent call, the Trump team mocked the haplessness of some of the Republicans they were trying to elect.

“I have seen the enemy,” Mr. Blair told the group a week earlier. “And it is us.”

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